Tuesday's Forecast Update 10/24

Much cooler temps, stronger winds and rain/snow chances are on the way.

From the KX Storm Center:
It feels a little cool today and it has been breezy at times with temperatures near & slightly above average for this time of the year. Winds will calm down for most of us, tonight. But, it will still be a little breezy at times (SW). Tomorrow's high temperatures will range from the Mid 50s (NE & North Central) into the 70s for parts of Southwest ND. A warm front will move West to East and winds will start to pick up with warming temps, in its wake. On top of warmer temps & moderate to strong winds, it will be breezy. So, there is a Fire Weather Warning that has been issued (from Noon until 7pm MDT Wednesday) for much of SW ND to include; Billings, Golden Valley, Stark, Hettinger, Adams, Slope & Bowman counties. 
It will be dry with humidity values falling into the teens and a West wind 15-25mph G35+.
Any fires that develop will spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is not recommended. 

Through the next couple of days, It will warm up a little more and winds stay breezy tomorrow. But, that is not it... Wednesday night & Thursday will bring several changes, in a different direction. Wednesday night, scattered rain will develop and transition to snow as a system moves through the Dakotas. In the wake of this system, temperatures will fall considerably and it will be 20-30 degrees cooler by Thursday.
It will stay breezy with unseasonably cool temps through the end of the week. Friday/Saturday & Sunday will bring more sunshine with temps climbing into a seasonable range before our next system. Precip chances will return Sunday/Monday with cooler temps, stronger winds and more clouds for the beginning of the work week. 
The biggest concern in our 7day Outlook focuses on Fire Weather issues, tomorrow. Warmer temps will help leaves & other fuels dry out even faster. Then, couple strong winds and low humidity values and this is a recipe for hazardous fire conditions. 
Then, it will quickly turn much cooler with a chance of rain. Rain will become mix and then snow through Thursday. All together, we are not looking at much in the way of significant accumulations. A couple of the weather models have scattered totals of less than an inch by Thursday night. But, a few more of the models are hinting at a few areas of 1"-3". Either way, we are not looking at a lot. By this time our focus will turn to much cooler temps and the return of strong winds. By Thursday, there could be the potential for a High Wind Warning with gusts as high as 40-50mph+.

Tonight, mostly clear to partly cloudy with winds calming down. Lows in the 30s & 40s  with a West/NW wind 2-12mph and still breezy for Southwest ND.

Wednesday will start off mostly sunny with more clouds rolling in, late. It will be much warmer for many of us with highs in the 60s & 70s for most of Western & Central ND and in the 50s East. Winds will pick up early and it will be breezy. West/South wind 10-20mph G30 (35-40+ in SW ND).

Wednesday night, scattered rain will develop and transition to mix & snow. It will still be windy for many of us. Lows in the 30s with a NW wind 20-30mph G35-45 for some. 40% chance of rain/snow.

Thursday will be cloudy with some clearing, strong winds, cooling temps and chills in the teens with a chance of continued scattered, light snow. Highs in the 30s & 40s NW/North wind 25-35mph G40-50. 40% chance of hit & miss snow. Less than 1" for most with areas of 1"-3" possible. 

Thursday night, mostly clear to partly cloudy with winds gradually calming down and continued falling temps. Lows in the teens & 20s with strong winds out o fthe West and chills in the teens & single digits.

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Burn Restrictions & Bans Click Here.

~Dorrell Wenninger - KX Storm Team

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